1. Identify the High Scoring Leagues
The first step you should take is analyse individual leagues and see how often 3 or more goals occur in their games. There are certain leagues with matches featuring a lot of goals, a prime example of such is the Swiss challenge league, with an average of 3.12 goals per game in the 19/20 league season. Contrastingly, there are certain leagues with a number of low-scoring games, a good example of such leagues is the Greek super league, averaging 2.37 goals per game. Low-scoring leagues should be avoided for over 2.5 goals bets.
2. Research Fixtures of High Scoring Teams
After you’ve identified a high scoring team, you can look up their upcoming matches to see when they face a similarly high scoring team. When team X has produced over 2.5 goals in 80% of their games and they meet team Y whose games have produced over 2.5 goals in 70% of their games, the probability of over 2.5 goals happening when they meet is 75%. This is a very good pick for your over 2.5 goals singles or ACCA.
3. Study the League Table
The league positions give useful insight on the number of goals you should expect in their fixture. Observing average goals scored and goals conceded by both teams, also take note of the proximity of their league positions, for instance, a match between the 1st placed and 2nd second placed teams in the league is likely going to be a tight affair.
4. Analyse the Head-2-Head record and Team News
Some teams usually have high scoring matches whenever they face each other. Head to Head record helps in identifying such trends and it is particularly useful when predicting over 2.5 goals in a football match. Also observe the team news to see if important players like the first team striker or defender is likely to miss out on the fixture.
5. Research the Footballing Philosophy of Both Teams
Observe teams that have an attacking goal-heavy philosophy, they would likely maintain that and attack at every opportunity, which will give you a better chance at landing your over 2.5 goals bet. On the contrary, some managers prioritize defense over attack, and they are focused on protecting their defensive solidity, such defensive teams should be avoided when betting on over 2.5 goals.
If you’re interested in more Betting Strategies like this click here.